Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc76f…a5db
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$14,591 +77%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,519 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$234
Realized+$14,519
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses320 / 219
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)539 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$406
Trades / day3410.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 539 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14,519
7 days+$14,519
14 days+$14,519
30 days+$14,519
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 38¢ 70¢ $77 $141 +$64 (+83%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 72¢ $45 $65 +$20 (+45%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 32¢ 28¢ $22 $19 −$3 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 37¢ 30¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+124%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$61 -11300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$62 -12056%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$70 -28718%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$31 +55664%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$93 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$34 +282%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$19 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$286 +1110%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$3 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$36 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$235 +790%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$171 +900%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$11 -840%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$67 -166%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$14 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$86 +1331%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$153 +850%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$104 +237%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$15 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$195 +2715%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$38 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$14 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$214 +3104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$79 +6543%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$234 +18917%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$23 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$24 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$27 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$21 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$183 +5715%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$57 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $128 −$153 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$57 +348%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$200 +1378%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$105 +572%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$65 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$66 +955%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$40 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$256 +1652%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$62 +334%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$234 +3301%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$24 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$102 +2052%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$37 -150%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$198
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+381.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 539 +432.3% +381.6% 59% 55% +33.4%
≤30d 539 +432.3% +381.6% 59% 55% +33.4%
≤90d 539 +432.3% +381.6% 59% 55% +33.4%
all 539 +432.3% +381.6% 59% 55% +33.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3410.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +381.6% 55% +33.4%
10% ← realistic here +335.5% 54% +20.7%
15% +293.4% 53% +9.0%
20% +254.8% 51% -1.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $234.42 · official $226.85 · 3500 history records