Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T07:50:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc76f…4560 crypto 61 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$67 (-6%) realized −$67 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate51%31W / 30L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day23.3pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 63% −$51
other 25% +$2
sports 11% −$62
world 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -19.9% -27.5% 51% 44% -19.0%
≤30d 61 -19.9% -27.5% 51% 44% -19.0%
≤90d 61 -19.9% -27.5% 51% 44% -19.0%
all 61 -19.9% -27.5% 51% 44% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 44% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.5% 31% -26.7%
15% -40.8% 25% -33.8%
20% -46.6% 13% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -20% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -26% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$12 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses31 / 30
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
History coverage5d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 61 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 28 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $47 +$22 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $71 −$25 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $104 −$99 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 28 $51 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$11 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$19 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$1 -30%
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 28 $5 +$2 +48%
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 Jun 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? Jun 28 $2 −$2 -97%
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 28 $5 −$3 -65%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $21 −$21 -98%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 27 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $11 −$7 -65%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $11 +$2 +14%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? Jun 27 $5 −$5 -91%
Exact Score: Egypt 2 - 2 IR Iran? Jun 27 $5 −$4 -85%
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? Jun 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $21 +$2 +10%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first? Jun 27 $10 +$9 +93%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $10 −$4 -44%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $30 +$8 +25%
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $50 +$3 +5%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$8 -76%
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 25 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $10 +$8 +78%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 -1%
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 24 $10 −$8 -78%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $20 +$2 +12%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $2 +$1 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $52 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $41 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $30 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $47 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 130 history records