Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:14:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
C7 0xc75f…d7f6 sports 273 markets active 1h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$437 (-2%) realized −$422 · open −$15
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR63%break-even
Win rate64%167W / 95L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$86per market
Trades / day5.2pace
Fees−$185est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1,321now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$717
14 days−$1,438
30 days−$565
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$628
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -6.2% -15.1% 59% 58% -18.3%
≤30d 188 +9.7% -0.7% 64% 63% -13.1%
≤90d 262 +5.1% -4.9% 64% 63% -12.3%
all 262 +5.1% -4.9% 64% 63% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.9% 63% -12.3%
10% -14.0% 50% -20.7%
15% -22.3% 34% -28.4%
20% -29.9% 18% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$65 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$1,321
Realized−$422
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses167 / 95
Est. fees paid−$185
Open positions11
Markets (closed)262 / 273
History coverage56d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 11 History 262 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Moez Echargui Jaime Faria 84¢ 84¢ $175 $174 −$1 (-1%)
Poznan: Duje Ajdukovic vs Dalibor Svrcina Dalibor Svrcina 84¢ 84¢ $175 $174 −$1 (-1%)
Figueira Da Foz: Manon Leonard vs Alina Charaeva Alina Charaeva 81¢ 80¢ $175 $174 −$1 (-1%)
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynets Katie Volynets 53¢ 52¢ $151 $148 −$3 (-2%)
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Laurent Lokoli Kilian Feldbausch 75¢ 74¢ $140 $138 −$2 (-1%)
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Samuel Linde Juan Estevez 87¢ 84¢ $138 $134 −$4 (-3%)
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann Joao Fonseca 67¢ 68¢ $130 $131 +$1 (+1%)
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Francesca Pace Jazmin Ortenzi 73¢ 72¢ $85 $84 −$1 (-1%)
Nottingham 2: Henrique Rocha vs Christopher O'Connell Christopher OConnell 53¢ 50¢ $66 $63 −$3 (-5%)
Figueira Da Foz: Sachia Vickery vs Beatriz Haddad Maia Beatriz Haddad Maia 83¢ 82¢ $61 $60 −$0 (-1%)
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 45¢ 44¢ $41 $41 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $116 +$35 +31%
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia Jun 12 $50 +$35 +70%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $121 +$37 +31%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 12 $54 +$35 +65%
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric Jun 12 $96 +$36 +38%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Jun 12 $80 +$66 +83%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $111 +$22 +20%
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ui Su Jeong Jun 12 $80 +$33 +42%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mair Jun 12 $176 +$30 +17%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $65 +$87 +134%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
ITF Monastir: Sun Min Ha vs Alice Battesti Jun 12 $24 +$83 +344%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $86 +$29 +34%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $16 +$15 +97%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $99 +$21 +21%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $111 −$111 -100%
ITF Wichita: Matisse Farzam vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 11 $161 +$52 +32%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 11 $51 −$1 -2%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $123 −$123 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $82 −$82 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Valeriya Strakhova Jun 11 $101 +$34 +34%
ITF Monastir: Meriem Ben Ezzedine vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 11 $176 +$25 +14%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Patrik Meszaros Jun 11 $176 −$176 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Aurora Corvi Jun 11 $176 +$30 +17%
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Anastasia Kulikova Jun 11 $111 +$58 +52%
ITF Casablanca: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nina Vargova Jun 11 $173 +$37 +21%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Martha Matoula vs Anna Dvorackova Jun 11 $230 +$25 +11%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Sofia Rocchetti Jun 11 $173 +$27 +16%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Chiara Di Genova Jun 11 $117 +$14 +12%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kurea Hayasaka Jun 11 $91 −$12 -13%
ITF Cuiaba: Francesca Mattioli vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $219 +$37 +17%
ITF Decatur: Maria Kononova vs Lea Ma Jun 10 $172 +$15 +8%
ITF Vaasa: Markus Molder vs Matthias Uwe Kask Jun 10 $181 +$62 +34%
ITF Messina: Leonardo Primucci vs Maxence Rivet Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $53 +$42 +79%
ITF Casablanca: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 10 $201 +$22 +11%
ITF San Gregorio: Irina Balus vs Marta Lombardini Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Nice: Jenny Lim vs Margaux Rouvroy Jun 10 $58 −$58 -100%
ITF Monastir: Sofia Avataneo vs Soo Ha Jang Jun 10 $37 +$72 +197%
ITF Nice: Maria Sara Popa vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Jacob Bradshaw Jun 10 $202 −$202 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Semra Aksu vs Alexandra Melnikova Jun 10 $4 +$5 +119%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Sarah Iliev Jun 10 $147 +$50 +34%
ITF Monastir: Andrea Roots vs Isabella De Micco Padula Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Monastir: Maddalena Giordano vs Lourdes Ayala Jun 10 $56 −$56 -100%
ITF Guimaraes: Lauryn John-Baptiste vs Viktoria Hruncakova Jun 10 $171 −$171 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 53¢ $153 35m
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann BUY Joao Fonseca 67¢ $131 39m
Brescia: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Francesca Pace BUY Jazmin Ortenzi 73¢ $86 45m
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 45¢ $42 48m
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Samuel Linde BUY Juan Estevez 87¢ $139 49m
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Laurent Lokoli BUY Kilian Feldbausch 75¢ $141 51m
Figueira Da Foz: Sachia Vickery vs Beatriz Haddad Maia BUY Beatriz Haddad Maia 83¢ $61 55m
Nottingham 2: Henrique Rocha vs Christopher O'Connell BUY Christopher OConnell 53¢ $67 58m
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Moez Echargui BUY Jaime Faria 84¢ $176 59m
Figueira Da Foz: Manon Leonard vs Alina Charaeva BUY Alina Charaeva 81¢ $176 1h
Poznan: Duje Ajdukovic vs Dalibor Svrcina BUY Dalibor Svrcina 84¢ $176 1h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 76¢ $116 2d
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia BUY Antonia Rivera 58¢ $50 2d
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola BUY Aurora Zantedeschi 60¢ $54 3d
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Maria Garcia Cid 65¢ $73 3d
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 54¢ $80 3d
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric BUY Eva Bennemann 72¢ $96 3d
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mair BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 85¢ $176 3d
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 39¢ $22 3d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato BUY Jesper de Jong 74¢ $86 3d
ITF Monastir: Sun Min Ha vs Alice Battesti BUY Sun Min Ha 22¢ $24 3d
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Ui Su Jeong BUY Julia Adams 70¢ $80 3d
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic BUY Marie Mettraux 50¢ $16 3d
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato BUY Mia Horvit 65¢ $88 3d
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese BUY Polina Iatcenko 82¢ $99 3d
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 42¢ $65 3d
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 83¢ $111 3d
ITF Wichita: Matisse Farzam vs Kenta Miyoshi BUY Kenta Miyoshi 75¢ $161 3d
ITF Monastir: Meriem Ben Ezzedine vs Chiara Fornasieri BUY Chiara Fornasieri 87¢ $176 4d
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava BUY Emilio Nava 70¢ $33 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,321.42 · official $1,321.42 (match) · 568 history records