Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:38:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0xc75e…c91f

other · 7 markets active 2h ago

0.0score

−$116 -84%

TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open −$47

avoidriskycopy

✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$22

Realized−$69

Unrealized−$47

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 3

Est. fees paid−$0

Open positions4

Markets (closed)3 / 7

History coverage142d

Avg bet$20

Trades / day0.1

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit57%

Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days$0

7 days$0

14 days$0

30 days$0

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	30¢	12¢	$30	$12	−$18 (-58%)
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	22¢	8¢	$10	$4	−$6 (-61%)
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	45¢	16¢	$9	$3	−$6 (-64%)
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	26¢	2¢	$20	$2	−$18 (-91%)
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$5	$0	−$5 (-100%)
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$49	$0	−$49 (-100%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for th	Mar 18	$15	−$15	-100%
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for th	Feb 02	$49	−$49	-100%
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Jan 23	$5	−$5	-100%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

other 68% −$81

economics 21% −$24

sports 7% −$6

world 4% −$5

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World	BUY Yes	22¢	$10	1h
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	BUY Yes	45¢	$9	81d
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	BUY Yes	26¢	$20	81d
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for th	BUY Yes	21¢	$15	88d
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for th	BUY Yes	25¢	$5	130d
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for th	BUY Yes	45¢	$22	138d
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for th	BUY Yes	43¢	$12	138d
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for th	BUY Yes	44¢	$10	139d
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY Yes	21¢	$5	140d
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY Yes	30¢	$30	141d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

negative after costs — do not copy

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-100.0%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	no closed markets
≤30d	no closed markets
≤90d	1	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%
all	3	-100.0%	-100.0%	0%	0%	-100.0%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover0.1 tr/day

realistic slip~5%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
10%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
15%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%
20%	-100.0%	0%	-100.0%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.50 · official $21.50 (match) · 11 history records