trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 0% | 0% | -10.9% |
| all | 34 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 15% | 12% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.0% | 12% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -29.5% | 12% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -36.3% | 12% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 12% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $821 | $821 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $160 | $160 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $458 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $996 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $997 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Guardians vs. Tigers | Sep 16 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $12 | +$15 | +127% |
| Tigers vs. White Sox | Sep 11 | $6 | +$5 | +79% |
| Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany? | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 02 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 28 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 09 | $6 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 08 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 03 | $2 | $0 | -11% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 02 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Texas Tech vs. Arkansas | Dec 30 | $100 | +$109 | +109% |
| South Florida vs. San José State | Dec 27 | $146 | −$146 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Magic | Dec 27 | $103 | +$112 | +108% |
| Will Helen McEntee be the next Prime Minister of Ireland? | Dec 24 | $3 | −$2 | -67% |
| Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Dec 04 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 4 | Oct 16 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3 | Oct 07 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |