Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:52:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc74b…9c04
other · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$673
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions48
Markets (closed)4 / 52
History coverage18d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 48 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 84¢ 88¢ $123 $128 +$5 (+4%)
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No 94¢ 97¢ $49 $50 +$2 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $39 $40 +$0 (+1%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 82¢ 88¢ $36 $39 +$2 (+7%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $34 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 87¢ $30 $28 −$1 (-4%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No 95¢ 92¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-4%)
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 97¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No 91¢ 91¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 86¢ 84¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-3%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 82¢ 85¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+2%)
Will Solana reach $120 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? No 95¢ 99¢ $13 $13 +$1 (+4%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 57¢ 58¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+3%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June? No 77¢ 95¢ $11 $13 +$3 (+24%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No 73¢ 80¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+9%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 92¢ 78¢ $15 $12 −$2 (-16%)
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 90¢ 90¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 70¢ 68¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-4%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June? No 84¢ 94¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+12%)
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 75¢ 78¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Jun 06 $2 $0 +4%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $17 $0 +1%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? May 28 $3 $0 -11%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele May 28 $7 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 37% +$10
other 31% −$1
crypto 21% +$2
finance 4% −$1
sports 3% +$9
tech 2% +$2
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $3 4m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 10m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $2 13m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 21m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 24m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $3 25m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 30m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 31m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 32m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 34m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +3.7% -6.2% 100% 0% -6.2%
≤30d 4 -2.6% -11.9% 50% 0% -10.8%
≤90d 4 -2.6% -11.9% 50% 0% -10.8%
all 4 -2.6% -11.9% 50% 0% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 0% -10.8%
10% -20.3% 0% -19.3%
15% -28.0% 0% -27.1%
20% -35.1% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $672.94 · official $671.98 (match) · 253 history records