trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +17.8% | +6.6% | 44% | 44% | -30.4% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +17.3% | +6.2% | 47% | 41% | -29.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +10.7% | +0.2% | 48% | 38% | -28.4% |
| all | 21 | +10.7% | +0.2% | 48% | 38% | -28.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.2% | 38% | -28.4% |
| 10% | -9.4% | 38% | -35.2% |
| 15% | -18.2% | 33% | -41.5% |
| 20% | -26.2% | 24% | -47.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $13 | $13 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 38¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+33%) |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$9 | +442% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$6 | +40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$8 | +325% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $13 | +$7 | +57% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$11 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$10 | +105% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $7 | +$13 | +169% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 28 | $6 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 06 | $5 | +$2 | +31% |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Apr 10 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Apr 10 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Apr 02 | $5 | $0 | +4% |