Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T21:31:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc744…873e crypto 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$122 (-50%) realized −$122 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -88% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -90% what you keep after slip
Net edge-90%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$61per market
Trades / day9.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$144
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-88.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -87.6% -88.8% 0% 0% -63.1%
≤30d 4 -87.6% -88.8% 0% 0% -63.1%
≤90d 4 -87.6% -88.8% 0% 0% -63.1%
all 4 -87.6% -88.8% 0% 0% -63.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -88.8% 0% -63.1%
10% -89.8% 0% -66.6%
15% -90.8% 0% -69.8%
20% -91.7% 0% -72.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -59% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -88% · $-wt -59% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$36 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $199 −$100 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records