Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc735…b72a other 1326 markets active 2h ago coverage 104d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 103d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$61 (-1%) realized −$61 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate44%577W / 749L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day29.1pace
Fees−$59est.
Kalshi-fit41%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$13
14 days+$19
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 57% −$88
sports 43% −$70
world 0% +$13
crypto 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +17.6% +6.4% 58% 58% +0.5%
≤30d 155 +9.8% -0.7% 48% 47% -6.9%
≤90d 1243 -9.5% -18.1% 42% 40% -17.1%
all 1326 -2.8% -12.1% 44% 42% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 42% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 40% -19.5%
15% -28.2% 37% -27.2%
20% -35.2% 32% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

104d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses577 / 749
Est. fees paid−$59
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1326 / 1326
History coverage104d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit41%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1326 Trades
no open positions (172 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $5 +$2 +44%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $2 +$2 +105%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $5 +$10 +203%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $3 −$3 -98%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 +$3 +103%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $4 +$4 +99%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $10 +$5 +48%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 −$9 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$3 -68%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $5 +$4 +71%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$6 +115%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +112%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +145%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +89%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +95%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $3 −$1 -34%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Brazil vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $5 +$5 +103%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $10 +$5 +48%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-30? Jun 01 $5 +$10 +191%
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score May 31 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $5 +$8 +155%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score May 31 $7 −$7 -99%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score May 31 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $3 −$2 -98%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $5 +$3 +50%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-05-29? May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $5 +$8 +156%
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw? May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $10 +$9 +90%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $28 +$18 +63%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $20 −$20 -98%
EC Juventude vs. América FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
CD Cobresal vs. CD Ñublense: Both Teams to Score May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-05-29? May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score May 29 $8 −$3 -36%
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28? May 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 75¢ $7 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $4 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 2h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 2h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 90¢ $15 3h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 3h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 5h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $5 5h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 79¢ $6 7h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $3 7h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $8 7h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $2 7h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 8h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $2 8h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $15 10h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 66¢ $10 11h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 32¢ $3 22h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $3 23h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 57¢ $3 23h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 24h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 25h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 16¢ $2 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 83¢ $13 25h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $5 26h
Scotland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 82¢ $9 27h
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 27h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 28h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $11 28h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 29h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3442 history records