Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T23:56:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C7 0xc732…5b3e crypto 1875 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$280 (-8%) realized −$280 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate79%1511W / 402L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day47.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days−$311
14 days−$311
30 days−$311
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$205
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -51.9% -56.5% 47% 0% -25.8%
≤30d 133 -51.9% -56.5% 47% 0% -25.8%
≤90d 1913 -4.3% -13.5% 79% 42% -18.2%
all 1913 -4.3% -13.5% 79% 42% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover47.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 42% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 24% -26.1%
15% -29.3% 13% -33.2%
20% -36.2% 7% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
43% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$280
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1511 / 402
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1913 / 1875
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day47.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1913 Trades
no open positions (388 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 27 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 27 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 27 $40 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records