trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 26 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 85% | 38% | -14.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.0% | 38% | -14.4% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 8% | -22.6% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 4% | -30.1% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 4% | -36.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $1,048 | $1,052 | +$4 (+0%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $332 | $328 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $240 | $238 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $119 | $118 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07? | Dec 07 | $887 | −$887 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07? | Dec 07 | $233 | +$154 | +66% |
| Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6? | Dec 06 | $86 | +$14 | +16% |
| Will Fulham vs. Brighton end in a draw? | Dec 06 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Fulham win on 2024-12-05? | Dec 06 | $184 | −$184 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-04? | Dec 05 | $208 | +$45 | +22% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04? | Dec 05 | $457 | +$51 | +11% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04? | Dec 04 | $420 | +$31 | +7% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-01? | Dec 01 | $747 | +$131 | +18% |
| Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-24? | Nov 25 | $90 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Southampton win on 2024-11-24? | Nov 24 | $607 | +$46 | +8% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-23? | Nov 24 | $569 | +$128 | +22% |
| Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-10? | Nov 11 | $512 | +$57 | +11% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | Oct 29 | $184 | +$16 | +9% |
| Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona? | Oct 27 | $638 | +$8 | +1% |
| Will Southampton win on 2024-10-26? | Oct 26 | $621 | +$17 | +3% |
| Will Sparta Praha beat Manchester City? | Oct 24 | $604 | +$17 | +3% |
| Will Southampton beat Arsenal? | Oct 06 | $576 | +$24 | +4% |
| Will Slovan Bratislava beat Manchester City? | Oct 02 | $553 | +$11 | +2% |
| Will Southampton beat Bournemouth? | Oct 01 | $191 | +$31 | +16% |
| Will Ipswich Town beat Aston Villa? | Sep 29 | $189 | +$11 | +6% |
| Will Newcastle beat Manchester City? | Sep 29 | $100 | +$11 | +11% |
| Will Arsenal beat Leicester City? | Sep 29 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Will Leicester City beat Arsenal? | Sep 29 | $108 | +$6 | +5% |
| Will Chelsea beat Brighton? | Sep 29 | $290 | +$9 | +3% |