trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +12.1% | +1.4% | 36% | 27% | +106.1% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 29% | 21% | +54.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 29% | 21% | +54.9% |
| all | 14 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 29% | 21% | +54.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.8% | 21% | +54.9% |
| 10% | -26.5% | 21% | +40.1% |
| 15% | -33.6% | 21% | +26.5% |
| 20% | -40.1% | 21% | +14.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $8 | $8 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$3 | +172% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$1 | -19% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$2 | -39% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -65% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $101 | +$190 | +188% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial El | Jun 03 | $10 | −$8 | -86% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 03 | $20 | −$18 | -90% |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 03 | $18 | −$18 | -97% |