trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -26.8% | -33.8% | 15% | 15% | -32.7% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 25% | 25% | -24.5% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +50.9% | +36.5% | 30% | 30% | -12.7% |
| all | 21 | +43.7% | +30.0% | 29% | 29% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +30.0% | 29% | -13.0% |
| 10% | +17.6% | 29% | -21.3% |
| 15% | +6.2% | 29% | -28.9% |
| 20% | -4.2% | 29% | -35.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 40¢ | 67¢ | $26 | $43 | +$17 (+65%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 93¢ | $22 | $42 | +$20 (+89%) |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$9 | +212% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $32 | +$55 | +170% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 15 | $18 | −$7 | -41% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$4 | -60% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 13 | $30 | −$17 | -58% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 12 | $22 | −$21 | -96% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -48% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? | Jun 11 | $13 | −$6 | -44% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | Jun 10 | $58 | −$41 | -71% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | Jun 10 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 07 | $21 | −$7 | -33% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 07 | $6 | +$17 | +289% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $4 | +$6 | +155% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | May 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | May 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | May 04 | $6 | +$13 | +212% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | May 04 | $2 | +$20 | +1011% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |