Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:35:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C7 0xc726…7114 crypto 534 markets active 8h ago coverage 239d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$50 (-1%) realized −$50 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate96%511W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day2.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$10
14 days+$4
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$48
finance 3% +$3
other 2% −$22
tech 1% +$1
sports 0% +$8
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +3.2% -6.6% 100% 0% -6.2%
≤30d 72 -0.3% -9.8% 97% 0% -8.1%
≤90d 368 -0.3% -9.8% 97% 0% -9.1%
all 534 -1.3% -10.7% 96% 1% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 1% -10.5%
10% -19.3% 1% -19.1%
15% -27.1% 1% -26.9%
20% -34.2% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

239d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses511 / 23
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)534 / 534
History coverage239d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 534 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 17? Jun 17 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 17? Jun 17 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on June 15? Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Trinidad and Tobago leading at halftime? Jun 09 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Will Trinidad and Tobago win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 $0 +2%
Will Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? Jun 09 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +3%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 8? Jun 09 $6 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 8? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 8? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 02 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 31 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 31 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 17? BUY Yes 92¢ $15 7h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 17? BUY No 92¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 25h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5d
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $15 5d
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 94¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 94¢ $20 6d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 11? BUY Yes 99¢ $15 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 93¢ $15 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $14 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2326 history records