Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:31:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc723…3ba7
crypto · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$11
other 5% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-36.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -29.7% -36.4% 43% 29% -36.7%
≤30d 7 -29.7% -36.4% 43% 29% -36.7%
≤90d 7 -29.7% -36.4% 43% 29% -36.7%
all 7 -29.7% -36.4% 43% 29% -36.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.4% 29% -36.7%
10% -42.5% 29% -42.8%
15% -48.1% 14% -48.3%
20% -53.2% 14% -53.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records