Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc718…64a8
sports · 573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,116 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,608 · open +$495
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$13,750
Realized−$2,608
Unrealized+$495
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses214 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$624
Open positions243
Markets (closed)445 / 573
History coverage4d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day805.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 243 History 445 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,621
7 days−$2,608
14 days−$2,608
30 days−$2,608
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $1,735 $1,755 +$20 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 44¢ $1,298 $1,313 +$15 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1,087 $1,095 +$8 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $881 $884 +$3 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 44¢ $831 $852 +$21 (+2%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 42¢ 100¢ $324 $779 +$455 (+141%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $568 $574 +$6 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 62¢ $370 $373 +$3 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $365 $354 −$10 (-3%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 79¢ 94¢ $244 $288 +$44 (+18%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $262 $264 +$2 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $221 $222 +$1 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 81¢ $211 $216 +$5 (+3%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 52¢ 80¢ $119 $181 +$62 (+52%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 84¢ 81¢ $161 $157 −$4 (-3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $142 $140 −$3 (-2%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 50¢ 52¢ $123 $126 +$3 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 47¢ 28¢ $213 $126 −$87 (-41%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? No 79¢ 78¢ $115 $114 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $107 $107 −$1 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 34¢ 34¢ $91 $89 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ 74¢ $85 $85 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 34¢ 34¢ $84 $84 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 84¢ 84¢ $76 $75 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 46¢ 45¢ $77 $74 −$2 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Monaco (-3.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 199.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $475 +$72 +15%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $166 +$33 +20%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $79 +$112 +142%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $606 +$234 +39%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $44 +$25 +58%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $226 −$222 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $371 +$128 +34%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $43 −$42 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $46 −$46 -99%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $58 +$22 +38%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $218 −$131 -60%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $46 −$45 -99%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $23 −$23 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $128 +$298 +232%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $20 +$35 +178%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $102 +$14 +14%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $294 +$78 +27%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $8 +$13 +165%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $24 +$2 +10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $99 +$39 +39%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,551 −$2,538 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $162 −$151 -94%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $364 −$349 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% +$1,666
other 19% −$3,152
crypto 4% −$10
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 75¢ $9 0m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 44¢ $3 0m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $19 2m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 55¢ $8 2m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 55¢ $8 2m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 54¢ $8 2m
Iraq leading at halftime? BUY Yes $3 4m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 63¢ $4 4m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 61¢ $12 4m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 85¢ $42 5m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 85¢ $11 5m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 31¢ $3 7m
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 61¢ $10 10m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $15 11m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 53¢ $14 13m
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Spurs 33¢ $4 14m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 53¢ $6 15m
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 62¢ $6 16m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 31¢ $4 18m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 12¢ $3 18m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 62¢ $4 20m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 53¢ $9 22m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 68¢ $6 23m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 61¢ $7 23m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 61¢ $65 24m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 61¢ $9 24m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 45¢ $3 25m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $5 26m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 80¢ $5 30m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 36¢ $3 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 445 +11.2% +0.6% 48% 47% -15.2%
≤30d 445 +11.2% +0.6% 48% 47% -15.2%
≤90d 445 +11.2% +0.6% 48% 47% -15.2%
all 445 +11.2% +0.6% 48% 47% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover805.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.6% 47% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -9.0% 38% -23.3%
15% -17.8% 32% -30.7%
20% -25.9% 24% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,749.63 · official $13,750.77 (match) · 3500 history records