Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T11:43:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
C7 0xc714…d152 sports 81 markets active 15h ago coverage 18d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$14,094 (+21%) realized +$14,094 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate57%46W / 35L
Whale WR71%big bets
Drawdown22%max
Avg bet$847per market
Trades / day34.5pace
Fees−$848est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,189
7 days+$1,772
14 days+$13,308
30 days+$13,710
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% +$14,510
world 1% −$800
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -11.4% -19.9% 47% 47% -4.7%
≤30d 81 +6.6% -3.6% 57% 56% +8.7%
≤90d 81 +6.6% -3.6% 57% 56% +8.7%
all 81 +6.6% -3.6% 57% 56% +8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 56% +8.7%
10% -12.8% 56% -1.7%
15% ← realistic here -21.2% 51% -11.2%
20% -29.0% 42% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +20% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 71% (≥$1,072) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +15% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$729 vs −$567 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.69 per $1 lost it wins $1.69
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$14,094
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses46 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$848
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 81
History coverage18d
Avg bet$847
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 81 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 16 $314 +$171 +55%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $3,023 −$3,011 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $1,587 +$1,855 +117%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $659 +$751 +114%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $449 +$256 +57%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $291 −$285 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,433 +$967 +68%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $329 −$324 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $609 −$600 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $982 −$970 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $4,897 +$1,440 +29%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $718 +$565 +79%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $931 −$929 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3,381 +$893 +26%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $351 −$345 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $189 −$184 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $158 −$156 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $282 −$276 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $455 +$500 +110%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,214 −$1,200 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $544 +$655 +120%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $421 −$414 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3,592 +$2,629 +73%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $239 +$450 +188%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$36 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $709 −$702 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $725 +$543 +75%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $672 −$662 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,082 −$1,072 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $549 +$600 +109%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $383 +$493 +129%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $711 +$305 +43%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $243 −$243 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $667 +$644 +97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $531 −$525 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2,327 +$1,275 +55%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,722 +$806 +47%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,478 +$769 +52%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $2,226 +$3,146 +141%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,136 +$528 +46%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,026 +$1,254 +122%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,446 +$1,435 +99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $351 −$344 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $3,790 +$2,160 +57%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,187 −$1,186 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,383 +$1,910 +138%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $4,036 +$1,720 +43%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,198 −$1,196 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,738 −$1,712 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 64¢ $314 14h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 31¢ $59 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 31¢ $61 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $21 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $95 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $3 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $41 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $46 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $12 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $37 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $2 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $71 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $164 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $4 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $1,727 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $680 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 45¢ $1,014 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $22 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $5 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $7 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $36 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $2 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $409 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $2 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $7 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $82 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $28 42h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $60 42h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $50 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 678 history records