Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:05:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C7 0xc712…aaa7 crypto 424 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$477 (-3%) realized −$477 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate59%251W / 173L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day111.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$555
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$555
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +0.8% -8.8% 70% 25% -9.9%
≤30d 424 -4.3% -13.4% 59% 20% -12.6%
≤90d 424 -4.3% -13.4% 59% 20% -12.6%
all 424 -4.3% -13.4% 59% 20% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover111.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 20% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 7% -21.0%
15% -29.2% 4% -28.6%
20% -36.2% 1% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
65% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$477
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses251 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)424 / 424
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$38
Trades / day111.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 424 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $119 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$16 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $60 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $62 −$29 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $110 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $120 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$10 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $117 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $110 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records