Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc711…dde4
crypto · 325 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$853 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$315 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$315
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses182 / 154
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 325
History coverage83d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$211
7 days−$210
14 days−$210
30 days−$210
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 8AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 11AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 8AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$48 -967%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$30 -137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$25 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$22 -231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$7 -62%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 11AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$13 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$11 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -5.1% -14.2% 63% 49% -22.7%
≤30d 82 -5.1% -14.2% 63% 49% -22.7%
≤90d 336 -1.1% -10.5% 54% 38% -13.0%
all 336 -1.1% -10.5% 54% 38% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 38% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 22% -21.3%
15% -26.9% 10% -28.9%
20% -34.1% 4% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records