Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:42:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc710…b59a
crypto · 1532 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$790 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$787 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized+$787
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses845 / 589
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1434 / 1532
History coverage75d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$27
14 days+$83
30 days+$331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $5 $14 +$8 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+124%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 24¢ 100¢ $2 $8 +$6 (+317%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+223%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+162%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$790
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 443 +2.5% -7.3% 55% 53% -6.8%
≤30d 1075 +2.2% -7.6% 55% 54% -4.3%
≤90d 1434 +3.3% -6.5% 59% 54% -5.4%
all 1434 +3.3% -6.5% 59% 54% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 54% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 48% -14.4%
15% -23.6% 40% -22.7%
20% -31.1% 32% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.84 · official $66.84 (match) · 3500 history records