Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc70b…d2f2
crypto · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,125 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,834 · open −$990
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$185
Realized+$2,834
Unrealized−$990
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses48 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$67
Open positions2
Markets (closed)93 / 95
History coverage1d
Avg bet$394
Trades / day3402.0
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,834
7 days+$2,834
14 days+$2,834
30 days+$2,834
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 42¢ 42¢ $182 $184 +$2 (+1%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) T1 72¢ $992 $1 −$992 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $874 −$29 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $315 +$396 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $151 +$171 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$159 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$71 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$65 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $1,317 +$71 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$4 -14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1,670 +$12 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$33 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$38 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $944 +$67 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$9 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$7 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$11 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$11 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1,046 +$59 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$5 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$50 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $227 +$91 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $948 −$12 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,872 −$178 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$6 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$41 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$31 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1,481 −$35 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $2,496 +$404 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $156 +$27 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $564 +$70 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,086 −$116 -11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$13 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$59 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $503 +$39 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $310 +$305 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $781 −$43 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,401 −$29 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$5 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$2,935
sports 8% −$970
other 0% −$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $136 13m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $17 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 42¢ $30 20m
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 72¢ $1,001 1h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) SELL T1 15¢ $261 1h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 56¢ $1,001 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $221 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $67 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $12 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $23 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 48¢ $310 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $7 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $19 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 42¢ $111 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 42¢ $19 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $84 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $376 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $398 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +41.5% +28.0% 52% 40% -5.6%
≤30d 93 +41.5% +28.0% 52% 40% -5.6%
≤90d 93 +41.5% +28.0% 52% 40% -5.6%
all 93 +41.5% +28.0% 52% 40% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3402.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +28.0% 40% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here +15.8% 27% -14.7%
15% +4.6% 24% -22.9%
20% -5.7% 18% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $184.87 · official $184.87 (match) · 3500 history records