Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:20:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C7
0xc709…809d
sports · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$66 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$113
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses37 / 41
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions4
Markets (closed)78 / 82
History coverage50d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 4 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$51
14 days−$201
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 46¢ $40 $33 −$7 (-18%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 0¢ 55¢ $0 $25 +$25 (+0%)
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 28¢ 17¢ $27 $16 −$10 (-38%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 2 Newcastle United FC? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 Over 83¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5) US Lecce 24¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 35¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $131 +$40 +30%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $119 +$33 +28%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $84 +$35 +42%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $48 −$47 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $60 −$60 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $39 −$38 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $23 +$15 +63%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 04 $153 −$150 -98%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? May 31 $354 +$177 +50%
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5 May 31 $138 −$16 -12%
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 May 31 $102 +$36 +35%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) May 31 $373 +$229 +61%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $376 −$2 -1%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $91 −$90 -99%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $104 −$13 -12%
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5 May 26 $158 −$83 -53%
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5) May 24 $73 −$72 -98%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $26 −$11 -43%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $30 +$16 +53%
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score May 24 $20 +$14 +68%
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score May 24 $22 +$16 +71%
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $25 +$20 +78%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $6 +$6 +111%
Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 2 Newcastle United FC? May 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $20 −$20 -98%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 May 23 $61 +$68 +112%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $37 −$36 -99%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5 May 18 $27 +$10 +38%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) May 18 $16 +$11 +70%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 May 17 $24 −$8 -35%
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 May 13 $259 −$257 -100%
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $20 +$32 +154%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $51 +$60 +119%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $160 +$108 +67%
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5 May 09 $17 −$17 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 09 $50 −$50 -100%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer May 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04? May 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 May 09 $15 −$15 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $16 +$1 +6%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $113 +$82 +72%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 May 03 $15 +$14 +93%
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5 May 03 $10 +$19 +185%
Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorer May 03 $5 −$5 -100%
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 May 03 $41 −$11 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$300
other 40% +$293
crypto 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $25 0m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 76¢ $131 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 99¢ $153 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 77¢ $119 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 95¢ $119 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 66¢ $84 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $48 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $60 46h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 65¢ $39 47h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 SELL Over 99¢ $38 47h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 60¢ $23 2d
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 28¢ $27 2d
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 57¢ $41 2d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $41 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 BUY Over 45¢ $9 3d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $20 3d
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 35¢ $153 10d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? BUY Yes 54¢ $122 14d
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 34¢ $122 14d
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 37¢ $138 14d
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 68¢ $138 14d
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 49¢ $102 14d
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 98¢ $599 14d
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 99¢ $2 14d
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 99¢ $1 14d
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $373 14d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31? SELL Yes 82¢ $374 14d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31? BUY Yes 82¢ $376 14d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? SELL Yes 53¢ $376 14d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 52¢ $91 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -37.4% -43.4% 44% 44% -18.2%
≤30d 32 -7.8% -16.5% 47% 47% -7.9%
≤90d 78 +7.5% -2.8% 47% 46% -9.9%
all 78 +7.5% -2.8% 47% 46% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.8% 46% -9.9%
10% -12.1% 45% -18.6%
15% -20.6% 41% -26.4%
20% -28.4% 35% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $112.70 · official $112.70 (match) · 174 history records