trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +3.4% | -6.4% | 100% | 0% | -6.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +3.4% | -6.4% | 100% | 0% | -6.4% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 100% | 0% | -7.1% |
| all | 8 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 75% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -8.8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.6% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $46 | $46 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Jun 22 | $59 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Apr 09 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 06 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | Mar 05 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in February? | Feb 24 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 27 | $17,651 | −$18 | -0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb | Jan 20 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Jan 20 | $7 | $0 | +0% |