Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6f3…83ca
other · 238 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$82 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses16 / 221
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)237 / 238
History coverage129d
Avg bet$234
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 237 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$15
14 days−$24
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $68 $68 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $175 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $406 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $912 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $545 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $210 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $404 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $738 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $323 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $468 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $139 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $852 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $284 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $396 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $154 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $397 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $515 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $176 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $532 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $241 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $281 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $442 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $414 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $144 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $72 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $397 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $467 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $292 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $73 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $818 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 04 $240 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $662 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $249 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 03 $248 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $516 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 02 $565 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $75 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $163 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $496 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $472 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $386 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $651 −$2 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $255 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $158 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $422 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 29 $103 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $547 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 28 $406 −$1 -0%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 28 $51 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 28 $516 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 27 $79 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$42
sports 25% −$22
politics 9% −$5
culture 6% −$8
economics 5% −$4
crypto 4% +$3
world 4% −$4
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $68 1h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $38 4h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $30 5h
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $68 7h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $68 8h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $68 10h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $68 11h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $68 13h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $68 20h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $68 21h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $68 26h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $68 27h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $68 29h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $68 30h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $68 36h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $69 37h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $69 43h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $69 45h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $69 45h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $69 46h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $69 2d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $69 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $69 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $69 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $69 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $69 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $69 2d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $69 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $69 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $69 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 61 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 176 -0.1% -9.6% 5% 0% -9.6%
all 237 -0.1% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.80 · official $67.80 (match) · 1332 history records