Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:12:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc6f1…c50a crypto 1650 markets active 0h ago coverage 44d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$565 (-17%) realized −$565 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate46%767W / 883L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day60.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$158
7 days−$243
14 days−$473
30 days−$390
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$525
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 -16.1% -24.0% 47% 47% -49.6%
≤30d 1260 -9.2% -17.8% 51% 41% -26.3%
≤90d 1650 -13.8% -22.0% 46% 37% -24.1%
all 1650 -13.8% -22.0% 46% 37% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 37% -24.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 28% -31.4%
15% -36.3% 23% -38.0%
20% -42.5% 17% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$565
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses767 / 883
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1650 / 1650
History coverage44d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day60.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1650 Trades
no open positions (248 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records