Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:21:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6e8…ffc8
crypto · 745 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$268 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$375 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$375
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses318 / 427
Open positions0
Markets (closed)745 / 745
History coverage66d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 745 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$319
other 6% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -2.7% -12.0% 66% 25% -10.3%
≤30d 130 -9.6% -18.2% 52% 26% -15.3%
≤90d 745 -12.1% -20.5% 43% 37% -20.6%
all 745 -12.1% -20.5% 43% 37% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.5% 37% -20.6%
10% -28.1% 34% -28.2%
15% -35.1% 32% -35.2%
20% -41.4% 30% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1762 history records