Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:41:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6e3…6867
crypto · 892 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$224 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$224 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$224
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses602 / 290
Open positions0
Markets (closed)892 / 892
History coverage11d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day237.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 892 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$171
7 days+$159
14 days+$224
30 days+$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 50¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 93¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 98¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 51¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 94¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 60¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 11¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $258 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $147 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $256 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$17 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$43 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$39 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $247 +$13 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$68 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $107 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $106 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $248 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $106 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $257 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $40 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $100 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $108 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $108 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $147 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $108 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $108 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $107 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $93 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $109 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $67 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 540 -6.0% -15.0% 86% 5% -9.1%
≤30d 892 -1.8% -11.1% 67% 4% -9.2%
≤90d 892 -1.8% -11.1% 67% 4% -9.2%
all 892 -1.8% -11.1% 67% 4% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover237.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 4% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 2% -17.9%
15% -27.4% 1% -25.8%
20% -34.5% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records