trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 50% | 17% | -17.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 50% | 17% | -17.9% |
| all | 6 | -12.7% | -21.0% | 50% | 17% | -17.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.0% | 17% | -17.9% |
| 10% | -28.6% | 17% | -25.8% |
| 15% | -35.5% | 17% | -32.9% |
| 20% | -41.8% | 0% | -39.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | No | 53¢ | 54¢ | $500 | $505 | +$5 (+1%) |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 | Over | 70¢ | 69¢ | $300 | $298 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $62 | −$7 | -11% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 16 | $160 | +$8 | +5% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | May 31 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | May 31 | $92 | +$1 | +1% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | May 29 | $106 | −$15 | -14% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 15? | May 28 | $19 | +$8 | +43% |