Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:12:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6dc…5b5d
crypto · 1289 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$36 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$35 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$35
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses649 / 550
Open positions28
Markets (closed)1199 / 1289
History coverage312d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 28 History 1199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$10
14 days+$20
30 days+$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+30%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? Yes 7¢ 33¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+371%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Yes 81¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 79¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Yes 28¢ 44¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+55%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14? Yes 13¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? Yes 11¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14? Yes 28¢ 33¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 88¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Yes 62¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14? Yes 30¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 15? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14? Yes 31¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? Yes 39¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 15? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 14? Yes 14¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-39%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Yes 30¢ 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-52%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 14¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-54%)
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 14? Yes 8¢ 3¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Jun 13 $1 $0 -43%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Jun 13 $1 $0 -40%
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Jun 13 $1 $0 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 +$6 +540%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +87%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +122%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +198%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +71%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +53%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? Jun 11 $1 +$9 +900%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% +$7
weather 21% +$18
other 15% +$15
sports 8% +$3
world 0% −$2
politics 0% −$2
culture 0% $0
finance 0% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 15? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? SELL No 50¢ $1 1h
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? SELL No 51¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Trump out as President before GTA VI? SELL No 49¢ $1 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 19h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 19h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 19h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 14? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 19h
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 19h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 21h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 23h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 +2.8% -7.0% 55% 43% -6.8%
≤30d 973 +2.1% -7.6% 54% 51% -6.7%
≤90d 1033 +3.0% -6.8% 54% 50% -6.4%
all 1199 +1.8% -7.9% 54% 50% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 50% -7.7%
10% -16.7% 48% -16.5%
15% -24.7% 45% -24.6%
20% -32.1% 43% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.22 · official $37.16 (match) · 2018 history records