Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6cc…ea9d
sports · 9 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$23 +47%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$23
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 2 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$23
14 days+$23
30 days+$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $18 $1 −$17 (-95%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-94%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 13 $3 +$4 +132%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$19 +1843%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 +$13 +256%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$6 -79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$32
sports 29% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 41m
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 3h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 9h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 18h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 56¢ $2 19h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 19h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 19h
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? SELL Yes 99¢ $7 20h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 20h
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 42¢ $3 20h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 20h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 21h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 21h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 21h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Over 27¢ $5 22h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+252.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +289.7% +252.6% 57% 57% +64.7%
≤30d 7 +289.7% +252.6% 57% 57% +64.7%
≤90d 7 +289.7% +252.6% 57% 57% +64.7%
all 7 +289.7% +252.6% 57% 57% +64.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +252.6% 57% +64.7%
10% ← realistic here +218.9% 57% +49.0%
15% +188.1% 57% +34.6%
20% +159.8% 57% +21.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.09 · official $1.09 (match) · 25 history records