Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T14:10:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
C6 0xc6cc…1e37 sports 154 markets active 1h ago coverage 42d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$13,625 (+13%) realized +$13,536 · open +$89
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +30% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -4% what you keep after slip
Net edge-4%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate97%147W / 4L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$675per market
Trades / day39.7pace
Fees−$1,802est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$2,935now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$134
7 days+$1,515
14 days+$7,475
30 days+$11,696
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$13,164
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +6.3% -3.8% 100% 17% -3.0%
≤30d 100 +44.7% +30.9% 99% 26% +4.6%
≤90d 151 +29.7% +17.3% 97% 21% +2.3%
all 151 +29.7% +17.3% 97% 21% +2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.3% 21% +2.3%
10% +6.1% 13% -7.5%
15% ← realistic here -4.2% 9% -16.4%
20% -13.6% 7% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +30% · $-wt +13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$739) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +4% → late +55% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$90 vs −$25 · ×3.54 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×173.42 per $1 lost it wins $173.42
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$2,935
Realized+$13,536
Unrealized+$89
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses147 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$1,802
Open positions3
Markets (closed)151 / 154
History coverage42d
Avg bet$675
Trades / day39.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 151 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner ex-MANA eSports 49¢ 50¢ $1,854 $1,881 +$27 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW - Map 1 Winner SAW 47¢ 50¢ $991 $1,052 +$61 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs ODDIK Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D ODDIK Academy 41¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 28 $2,319 +$46 +2%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Wampirki - Map 2 Winner Jun 28 $74 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Wampirki - Map 1 Winner Jun 28 $90 +$7 +8%
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner Jun 28 $251 +$5 +2%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Challenge Jun 28 $2,261 +$46 +2%
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs Wampirki (+1.5) Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Wampirki (BO3) - CCT Europe Challenger Jun 27 $1,250 +$26 +2%
Set Handicap: Taverna (-1.5) vs Serna (+1.5) Jun 26 $62 +$1 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $444 +$35 +8%
Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs Vasco Esports (+1.5) Jun 25 $306 +$9 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Cham Jun 25 $3,506 +$480 +14%
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $1,135 +$125 +11%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-3.5) vs Vasco Esports (+3.5) Jun 25 $239 +$11 +5%
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $634 +$84 +13%
ITF Claremont: Jacob Brumm vs Vignesh Gogineni Jun 24 $212 +$84 +39%
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5) Jun 24 $29 +$1 +2%
Daniel Altmaier vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $100 +$2 +2%
Altmaier vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 24 $24 $0 +2%
Taylor Fritz vs. Jan Choinski: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $26 +$1 +2%
Fritz vs. Choinski: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $91 +$2 +2%
Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs Choinski Jun 24 $82 +$46 +56%
Fritz vs. Choinski: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 24 $180 +$4 +2%
Fritz vs. Choinski: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $133 +$3 +2%
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Choinski Jun 24 $112 +$2 +2%
Fritz vs. Choinski: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $264 +$5 +2%
Lee vs. Wang: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
ITF Wuning: Kuan-Yi Lee vs Aoran Wang Jun 24 $244 +$6 +2%
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5) Jun 24 $2 $0 +2%
Lee vs. Wang: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 24 $396 +$8 +2%
Lee vs. Wang: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 24 $19 $0 +2%
Kuan-Yi Lee vs. Aoran Wang: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $77 +$2 +3%
Set Handicap: Lee (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5) Jun 24 $368 +$8 +2%
Gabi Boitan vs. Denis Yevseyev: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $87 +$2 +2%
Set Handicap: Yevseyev (-1.5) vs Boitan (+1.5) Jun 23 $57 +$10 +17%
Boitan vs. Yevseyev: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 23 $30 +$1 +2%
Set Handicap: Boitan (-1.5) vs Yevseyev (+1.5) Jun 23 $85 +$5 +6%
Set 1 Winner: Boitan vs Yevseyev Jun 23 $29 +$1 +3%
Targu Mures: Gabi Boitan vs Denis Yevseyev Jun 23 $4,916 +$392 +8%
Boitan vs. Yevseyev: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 23 $84 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Seibold (-1.5) vs Heide (+1.5) Jun 23 $29 +$1 +2%
ITF Tarvisio: Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide vs Emily Seibold Jun 23 $276 +$36 +13%
ITF Tokyo: Hyeon Chung vs Masamichi Imamura Jun 21 $475 +$15 +3%
Hyeon Chung vs. Masamichi Imamura: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $356 +$22 +6%
Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Jun 18 $4 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $3,784 +$77 +2%
Rottgering vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 17 $1,213 +$25 +2%
Mees Rottgering vs. Kyrian Jacquet: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $540 +$12 +2%
Ouakaa vs. Rankin: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 17 $1 +$44 +4756%
Set Handicap: Barsukov (-1.5) vs Poertner (+1.5) Jun 17 $3 +$1 +26%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Adela Polakovicova vs Karine Sarkisova Jun 17 $717 +$169 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $33 59m
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $39 59m
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $21 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $91 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $86 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $55 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $42 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $653 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $165 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner SELL ex-MANA eSports 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $133 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 43¢ $70 1h
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Subtop De France - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 49¢ $736 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,935.21 · official $2,935.21 (match) · 1837 history records