Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6c8…140e
crypto · 60 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses32 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)56 / 60
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Starmer say "Poverty" during the next PMQ? No 50¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will "Attention" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15? No 19¢ 15¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$8
other 11% $0
sports 2% +$3
tech 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -9.2% -17.8% 57% 55% -17.2%
≤30d 56 -9.2% -17.8% 57% 55% -17.2%
≤90d 56 -9.2% -17.8% 57% 55% -17.2%
all 56 -9.2% -17.8% 57% 55% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 55% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 39% -25.1%
15% -32.9% 25% -32.4%
20% -39.5% 12% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.65 · official $3.65 (match) · 105 history records