Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:54:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc6c6…6bbc crypto 293 markets active 6d ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$7 (+1%) realized +$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate65%190W / 103L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day16.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$40
14 days−$24
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -7.4% -16.3% 60% 60% -16.4%
≤30d 293 -1.7% -11.1% 65% 65% -10.4%
≤90d 293 -1.7% -11.1% 65% 65% -10.4%
all 293 -1.7% -11.1% 65% 65% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 65% -10.4%
10% -19.6% 62% -19.0%
15% -27.4% 52% -26.8%
20% -34.5% 35% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses190 / 103
Open positions0
Markets (closed)293 / 293
History coverage19d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day16.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 293 Trades
no open positions (89 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 513 history records