Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:22:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6c3…b82d
crypto · 620 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$548 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$548 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$548
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses383 / 237
Open positions0
Markets (closed)620 / 620
History coverage19d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day131.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 620 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days−$95
14 days−$520
30 days−$548
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$16 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$10 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$19 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$15 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$27 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$7 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$16 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$18 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $123 −$40 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$38 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$25 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$21 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $88 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$12 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$25 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$27 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$15 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$548
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $37 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $13 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $36 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $72 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $26 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 449 -3.8% -13.0% 62% 59% -10.1%
≤30d 620 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 59% -14.0%
≤90d 620 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 59% -14.0%
all 620 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 59% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 59% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 42% -22.2%
15% -31.0% 18% -29.7%
20% -37.8% 10% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2793 history records