Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T13:51:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc6c3…926e crypto 184 markets active 1h ago coverage 13d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,720 (-11%) realized −$1,720 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate61%113W / 71L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$85per market
Trades / day15.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,535
7 days−$1,816
14 days−$2,674
30 days−$2,674
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,674
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -25.1% -32.2% 51% 43% -32.8%
≤30d 184 -11.6% -20.0% 61% 57% -25.0%
≤90d 184 -11.6% -20.0% 61% 57% -25.0%
all 184 -11.6% -20.0% 61% 57% -25.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.0% 57% -25.0%
10% -27.7% 57% -32.2%
15% -34.6% 41% -38.8%
20% -41.0% 19% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$29 vs −$83 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,720
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses113 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)184 / 184
History coverage13d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 184 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$22 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $468 −$468 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $68 +$27 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 19 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 19 $1,208 +$22 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $612 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $27 +$18 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 19 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 19 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $601 −$601 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $452 +$32 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $25 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $60 +$30 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$31 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$48 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$33 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $75 +$27 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $75 +$36 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $183 +$66 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $150 +$61 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$39 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$69 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$31 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$30 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $153 +$218 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$15 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $600 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1,208 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $222 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $224 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $612 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $25 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 420 history records