| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? |
Jun 27 |
$100 |
+$15 |
+15% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? |
Jun 27 |
$100 |
+$74 |
+74% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? |
Jun 27 |
$100 |
+$10 |
+10% |
| Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Jun 27 |
$100 |
+$11 |
+11% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Jun 27 |
$100 |
+$16 |
+16% |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Jun 27 |
$101 |
+$36 |
+36% |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Jun 27 |
$101 |
+$42 |
+42% |
| Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Jun 22 |
$101 |
+$25 |
+25% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Jun 19 |
$101 |
+$30 |
+30% |
| Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? |
Jun 19 |
$101 |
+$14 |
+14% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? |
Jun 13 |
$100 |
+$2 |
+2% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? |
Jun 13 |
$100 |
+$7 |
+7% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? |
Jun 04 |
$103 |
−$103 |
-100% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? |
Jun 04 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? |
May 22 |
$120 |
+$9 |
+7% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? |
May 10 |
$202 |
+$31 |
+15% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap |
May 02 |
$200 |
+$15 |
+8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? |
May 02 |
$200 |
+$17 |
+9% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? |
Apr 04 |
$25 |
+$2 |
+7% |
| Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31? |
Apr 04 |
$100 |
+$2 |
+2% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 04 |
$100 |
+$3 |
+3% |
| Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31? |
Apr 04 |
$100 |
+$4 |
+4% |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 04 |
$100 |
+$12 |
+12% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? |
Apr 04 |
$200 |
+$11 |
+5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 04 |
$300 |
+$7 |
+2% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31? |
Apr 04 |
$320 |
+$39 |
+12% |
| MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? |
Mar 09 |
$100 |
−$79 |
-79% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? |
Mar 09 |
$20 |
+$2 |
+9% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? |
Mar 09 |
$100 |
+$5 |
+5% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? |
Mar 09 |
$100 |
+$15 |
+15% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? |
Mar 09 |
$100 |
+$194 |
+194% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? |
Mar 01 |
$100 |
+$132 |
+132% |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026? |
Feb 28 |
$325 |
−$273 |
-84% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? |
Feb 28 |
$200 |
−$199 |
-99% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? |
Jan 30 |
$100 |
−$96 |
-96% |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? |
Jan 06 |
$300 |
+$309 |
+103% |
| Stripe IPO in 2025? |
Jan 01 |
$293 |
+$38 |
+13% |
| Macron out in 2025? |
Jan 01 |
$26,000 |
+$1,934 |
+7% |
| French election called by December 31? |
Dec 20 |
$120 |
−$117 |
-97% |
| Will Zama launch a token in 2025? |
Dec 20 |
$50 |
−$49 |
-97% |
| Bank of England rate cut in 2025? |
Dec 20 |
$100 |
+$123 |
+123% |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? |
Nov 28 |
$500 |
+$200 |
+40% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? |
Oct 30 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? |
Oct 29 |
$308 |
−$302 |
-98% |
| Next French confidence vote passes? |
Oct 29 |
$100 |
−$97 |
-97% |
| French election called by October 17? |
Oct 18 |
$251 |
+$74 |
+29% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? |
Oct 09 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? |
Oct 06 |
$100 |
+$700 |
+700% |