Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:16:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6bf…65c8
crypto · 194 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$175 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$174 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized−$174
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses108 / 85
Open positions1
Markets (closed)193 / 194
History coverage11d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day66.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97
7 days−$170
14 days−$174
30 days−$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 62¢ 62¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 40¢ 38¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$6 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$22 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $111 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $80 −$17 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$56 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $98 +$109 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$20 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$67 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$48 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $158 −$25 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$20 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$16 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$33 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$35 +326%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$20 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 +4.2% -5.8% 58% 49% -11.3%
≤30d 193 -1.7% -11.1% 56% 47% -11.2%
≤90d 193 -1.7% -11.1% 56% 47% -11.2%
all 193 -1.7% -11.1% 56% 47% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 47% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 41% -19.7%
15% -27.3% 36% -27.5%
20% -34.5% 25% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.08 · official $27.73 · 947 history records