Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T10:35:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc6b4…e81d crypto 467 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (438 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$81 (-1%) realized −$81 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate95%444W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day437.8pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$51
other 11% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (438 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 467 -1.3% -10.7% 95% 6% -10.6%
≤30d 467 -1.3% -10.7% 95% 6% -10.6%
≤90d 467 -1.3% -10.7% 95% 6% -10.6%
all 467 -1.3% -10.7% 95% 6% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover437.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 6% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 2% -19.2%
15% -27.1% 1% -27.0%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$15 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses444 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)467 / 467
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day437.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 467 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $28 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $28 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $28 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $27 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $14 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $14 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1011 history records