Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T02:19:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc6ad…5f3c crypto 579 markets active 1h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (164 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$25,114 (-7%) realized −$25,114 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate57%593W / 444L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$634per market
Trades / day163.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32,158
7 days−$31,293
14 days−$30,427
30 days−$30,663
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,294
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (164 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)+6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 684 +26.0% +14.0% 37% 9% -20.9%
≤30d 1037 +17.2% +6.0% 57% 6% -16.2%
≤90d 1037 +17.2% +6.0% 57% 6% -16.2%
all 1037 +17.2% +6.0% 57% 6% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover163.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.0% 6% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -4.1% 4% -24.3%
15% -13.4% 4% -31.6%
20% -21.9% 4% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +17% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$555) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +34% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$91 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.24 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$25,114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses593 / 444
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1037 / 579
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$634
Trades / day163.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1037 Trades
no open positions (465 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $96 −$94 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $127 −$127 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$38 -5470%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $188 −$188 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $312 −$312 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $0 −$55 -34577%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $0 −$3 -762%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 −$1 -250%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $0 −$7 -2231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$51 +39609%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $0 −$6 -3633%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $68 −$68 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$34 -668%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $151 −$151 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $258 −$258 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $107 −$107 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 26 $225 −$225 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $231 −$231 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$6 -123%
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 26 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $14 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 26 $0 +$18 +5311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 −$7 -3607%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 26 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $250 −$250 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $0 −$24 -12152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 26 $0 +$9 +4455%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $0 −$7 -6910%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $0 −$7 -2123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $0 −$5 -1324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 26 $374 −$374 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $918 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $146 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $19 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1,069 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $27 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $27 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $28 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $429 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $730 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $858 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $854 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $139 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $850 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $847 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $843 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $841 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $72 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records