Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc6a4…cda5
crypto · 1717 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$104 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$104 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1201 / 500
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1701 / 1717
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day238.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 15 History 1701 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$366
7 days−$991
14 days−$104
30 days−$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 No 78¢ 80¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 70¢ 68¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+34%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 68¢ 70¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 73¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+37%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+28%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? No 75¢ 98¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+30%)
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%? Yes 79¢ 93¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? Yes 82¢ 88¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? No 68¢ 81¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 76¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 80¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 78¢ 56¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$99
sports 1% $0
other 1% −$5
politics 0% +$1
world 0% +$1
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 40m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 668 -16.2% -24.2% 59% 56% -52.6%
≤30d 1701 -0.1% -9.7% 71% 67% -10.4%
≤90d 1701 -0.1% -9.7% 71% 67% -10.4%
all 1701 -0.1% -9.7% 71% 67% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover238.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 67% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 55% -19.0%
15% -26.2% 41% -26.8%
20% -33.4% 17% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.77 · official $32.28 · 3500 history records