Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:06:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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C6 0xc6a4…290e crypto 1739 markets active 0h ago coverage 71d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 70d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$83 (-2%) realized −$83 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate78%1359W / 387L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day25.6pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$25
14 days−$59
30 days−$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% −$159
other 26% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 581 -2.3% -11.6% 88% 27% -12.4%
≤30d 1020 -2.7% -12.0% 81% 42% -15.4%
≤90d 1746 -3.9% -13.0% 78% 47% -15.3%
all 1746 -3.9% -13.0% 78% 47% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 47% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 26% -23.4%
15% -29.0% 14% -30.8%
20% -35.9% 6% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1359 / 387
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1746 / 1739
History coverage71d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day25.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1746 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -785%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -433%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +32%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -316%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -147%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records