trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 0% | 0% | -14.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +11.9% | +1.2% | 25% | 25% | -15.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +11.9% | +1.2% | 25% | 25% | -15.1% |
| all | 18 | -67.9% | -70.9% | 6% | 6% | -19.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -70.9% | 6% | -19.1% |
| 10% | -73.7% | 6% | -26.8% |
| 15% | -76.2% | 6% | -33.9% |
| 20% | -78.6% | 6% | -40.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $2 | −$2 (-50%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+18%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $4,962 | −$289 | -6% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | -20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | May 28 | $74 | −$70 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | May 28 | $26 | +$45 | +173% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Feb 14 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Feb 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Feb 14 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18? | Jan 16 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 16 | $20 | −$11 | -54% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 08 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 08 | $40 | −$25 | -61% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Jan 08 | $23 | −$3 | -14% |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 | Jan 05 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 | Jan 05 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 | Jan 05 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 5? | Jan 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 5? | Jan 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? | Jan 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |