trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -83.0% | -84.6% | 0% | 0% | -91.3% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -37.1% | -43.1% | 17% | 17% | -43.3% |
| all | 20 | -43.4% | -48.8% | 15% | 15% | -52.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.8% | 15% | -52.2% |
| 10% | -53.7% | 15% | -56.8% |
| 15% | -58.1% | 15% | -61.0% |
| 20% | -62.3% | 15% | -64.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Yes | 42¢ | 54¢ | $2,000 | $2,588 | +$588 (+29%) |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $472 | $465 | −$7 (-2%) |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 19¢ | 1¢ | $3,500 | $150 | −$3,350 (-96%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $1,999 | −$979 | -49% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $2,040 | −$2,000 | -98% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 23 | $6,715 | −$6,589 | -98% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 17 | $1,966 | −$1,933 | -98% |
| Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 16 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 16 | $24 | −$23 | -97% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $103 | +$512 | +499% |
| UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims) | May 01 | $231 | +$241 | +104% |
| UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Car | Apr 19 | $1,000 | −$979 | -98% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | Apr 16 | $334 | −$324 | -97% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $4,000 | +$7,111 | +178% |
| Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $210 | −$210 | -100% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $1,282 | −$1,282 | -100% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $630 | −$630 | -100% |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 09 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 26 | $1,928 | −$1,928 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Chiefs | Oct 13 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |