Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T12:48:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc68a…39d5 other 11 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ net negative once open positions are counted
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized +$11 · open −$13
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$110per market
Trades / day5.1pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit36%portable
Net worth$1,182now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 68% −$9
sports 26% −$2
crypto 6% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$1,182
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1 / 11
History coverage2d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 10 History 1 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? No 88¢ 88¢ $276 $274 −$2 (-1%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? No 83¢ 82¢ $261 $260 −$2 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? No 82¢ 81¢ $175 $174 −$1 (-1%)
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $140 $139 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? No 29¢ 28¢ $119 $117 −$2 (-2%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? No 43¢ 42¢ $68 $67 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? No 13¢ 12¢ $68 $65 −$3 (-4%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? No 32¢ 30¢ $41 $39 −$2 (-5%)
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 73¢ 72¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? No 18¢ 18¢ $18 $17 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 88¢ $277 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 13¢ $70 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY No 82¢ $176 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 43¢ $69 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 83¢ $263 1h
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $141 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 32¢ $42 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 18¢ $18 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 29¢ $121 2h
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 73¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,181.82 · official $1,181.88 (match) · 11 history records