Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc684…19f3
crypto · 1552 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$425 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$423 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$423
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses903 / 648
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1551 / 1552
History coverage52d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day39.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1551 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$48
14 days−$138
30 days−$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? Yes 32¢ 16¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$424
sports 1% +$3
world 0% −$1
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 -32.6% -39.1% 51% 19% -37.4%
≤30d 901 -10.0% -18.6% 57% 30% -18.1%
≤90d 1551 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 31% -14.2%
all 1551 -12.9% -21.2% 58% 31% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 31% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 20% -22.4%
15% -35.6% 15% -29.9%
20% -41.9% 14% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.58 · official $2.58 (match) · 3500 history records