trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 53% | 13% | -16.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -13.5% | -21.7% | 53% | 21% | -17.2% |
| all | 20 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 55% | 20% | -17.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.9% | 20% | -17.1% |
| 10% | -28.5% | 5% | -25.0% |
| 15% | -35.4% | 5% | -32.3% |
| 20% | -41.7% | 0% | -38.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $67 | $67 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $51 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $23 | $23 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Jun 28 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Jun 28 | $48 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 28 | $50 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 28 | $49 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $34 | −$11 | -33% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $42 | −$5 | -12% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $54 | −$10 | -19% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +17% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev | May 30 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 29 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? | May 11 | $2 | −$1 | -99% |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals | May 11 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | May 11 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $2 | $0 | +4% |