Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T17:41:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
C6 0xc676…e571 crypto 677 markets active 1h ago coverage 198d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,193 (-2%) realized −$2,193 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate59%401W / 276L
Whale WR72%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$171per market
Trades / day7.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days+$63
14 days+$63
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,940
other 0% +$11
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +17.2% +6.1% 82% 82% -2.2%
≤30d 62 +15.6% +4.6% 76% 71% -9.5%
≤90d 279 -1.9% -11.2% 52% 50% -13.0%
all 677 +3.9% -6.0% 59% 54% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 54% -11.8%
10% -15.0% 45% -20.3%
15% -23.2% 35% -28.0%
20% -30.8% 28% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 72% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +8% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$42 vs −$72 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

198d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,193
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses401 / 276
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)677 / 677
History coverage198d
Avg bet$171
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 677 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 24 $102 +$27 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 24 $124 +$71 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 24 $77 +$30 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 24 $76 +$19 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $61 +$13 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $31 +$28 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$14 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $46 +$25 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $31 +$15 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 24 $129 −$129 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $102 +$35 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $102 −$102 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $101 +$19 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $172 −$27 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $204 −$40 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$4 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $102 +$22 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $127 −$79 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $101 +$25 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $229 −$50 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$9 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$38 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $204 −$66 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $128 +$18 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $230 +$32 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $107 +$39 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$10 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $50 +$7 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 09 $51 +$11 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 09 $107 +$18 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$13 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $133 +$38 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $101 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$18 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$10 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$10 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$13 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$15 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $102 −$81 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $134 +$24 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $25 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$8 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 09 $26 +$13 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$4 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $102 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2575 history records