Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:49:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C6 0xc673…ca1e crypto 1737 markets active 5d ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$299 (-1%) realized −$299 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate95%1652W / 84L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day113.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$367
14 days−$343
30 days−$349
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$200
other 1% −$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 -4.6% -13.7% 91% 1% -15.6%
≤30d 1736 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 1736 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 1% -10.2%
all 1736 -0.9% -10.3% 95% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover113.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$27 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$299
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1652 / 84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1736 / 1737
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day113.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1736 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $216 −$216 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$1 +5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $161 +$67 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $27 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $49 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 5d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $167 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $35 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $42 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $27 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $41 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $41 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $27 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $27 5d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $161 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $19 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $42 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $28 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $26 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records