Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:38:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc670…5301
crypto · 614 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$738 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$738 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$738
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses340 / 336
Open positions1
Markets (closed)676 / 614
History coverage10d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day262.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 676 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$492
7 days−$650
14 days−$738
30 days−$738
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 47¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$24 -906%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$260
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 -12.8% -21.1% 59% 11% -19.0%
≤30d 676 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 10% -15.7%
≤90d 676 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 10% -15.7%
all 676 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 10% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover262.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 10% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 8% -23.7%
15% -34.0% 7% -31.1%
20% -40.5% 7% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.58 · official $2.83 (match) · 3500 history records