Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:28:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C6
0xc666…8d00
sports · 465 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$796 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$858 · open −$62
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized+$858
Unrealized−$62
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses209 / 254
Est. fees paid−$249
Open positions2
Markets (closed)463 / 465
History coverage227d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 463 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days−$31
14 days+$170
30 days+$437
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 63¢ 60¢ $63 $60 −$4 (-6%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 84¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$58 (-99%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 53¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner M80 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner Sentinels 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner FlyQuest 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Winthrop University 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 9¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 49¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 55¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 56¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 3 Winner Ozarox Esports 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 55¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana ThunderTalk Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $46 +$24 +54%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 +$29 +41%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$7 -23%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $109 +$25 +22%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $38 +$41 +109%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $90 −$41 -46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $460 −$14 -3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$34 -90%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $133 +$97 +73%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $108 −$24 -22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $62 +$14 +23%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $25 +$55 +222%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $59 +$31 +52%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $103 +$47 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $81 +$15 +19%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $68 −$15 -22%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $17 −$16 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $33 +$17 +51%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $44 −$30 -68%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $34 −$34 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $94 +$32 +34%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$24 +96%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $27 −$25 -94%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $36 +$14 +39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $93 +$20 +22%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $28 +$26 +93%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $283 −$66 -23%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $67 +$33 +49%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $98 +$42 +42%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $83 +$29 +36%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $139 −$49 -36%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $440 −$66 -15%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $96 −$71 -75%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $240 −$76 -32%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $33 −$18 -55%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $54 +$46 +85%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $151 −$99 -66%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $120 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Team Secret (BO1) - Europe MENA League Jun 09 $43 +$37 +85%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $97 +$142 +146%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $74 +$25 +33%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $66 −$31 -47%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $63 −$49 -78%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $88 +$12 +14%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $560 −$12 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$998
crypto 3% −$200
politics 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 63¢ $64 18m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $70 20m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $100 20m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 84¢ $6 48m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 84¢ $5 48m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 84¢ $10 48m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 84¢ $11 48m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 25¢ $24 48m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 84¢ $26 49m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 31¢ $31 57m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 89¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 89¢ $111 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 89¢ $18 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 65¢ $46 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 53¢ $78 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 68¢ $34 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 25¢ $38 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 74¢ $75 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 71¢ $20 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 71¢ $51 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 45¢ $45 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 64¢ $65 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 41¢ $20 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $360 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $328 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 4¢ $8 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 27¢ $79 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 26¢ $52 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 48% -8.8%
≤30d 335 +5.2% -4.9% 49% 47% -5.2%
≤90d 439 +4.7% -5.3% 46% 44% -5.3%
all 463 +3.8% -6.0% 45% 43% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.0% 43% -3.4%
10% -15.0% 40% -12.7%
15% -23.2% 36% -21.1%
20% -30.8% 31% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.85 · official $59.85 (match) · 1392 history records